BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina
Class: 1 Class Rank: 19 Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (12-8) Overall: (21-10) Overall Strength = 63.69
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-09-2022 Home W 75.06 91 59 1 93 ( 20- 8) Jackson St 11.97 20.03
2 11-12-2022 Home W 66.55 75 48 1 134 ( 7- 22) TCU 3.46 23.54
3 11-16-2022 Home W 74.75 93 25 1 361 ( 3- 26) S Carolina St 11.66 * 56.34
4 11-20-2022 Away W 56.20 76 65 1 130 ( 25- 7) James Madison -6.89 17.89
5 11-24-2022 Neutral W 70.26 85 79 1 23 ( 17- 14) Oregon 7.17 -1.17
6 11-27-2022 Neutral W 74.52 73 64 1 13 ( 19- 9) Iowa St 11.42 -2.42
7 12-01-2022 Away L 51.06 63 87 1 3 ( 27- 3) Indiana -12.04 -11.96
8 12-07-2022 Home W 41.96 64 42 1 329 ( 5- 24) UNC Wilmington -21.13 * 43.13
9 12-11-2022 Home W 64.21 99 67 1 188 ( 22- 9) Wofford 1.12 * 30.88
10 12-16-2022 Home W 55.21 89 47 1 353 ( 11- 20) SC Upstate -7.88 * 49.88
11 12-20-2022 Neutral L 54.84 68 76 1 22 ( 22- 9) Michigan -8.25 0.25
12 12-29-2022 Home L * 54.56 71 78 1 21 ( 23- 9) Florida St -8.54 1.54
13 01-01-2023 Away L * 66.76 65 68 1 9 ( 27- 4) Virginia Tech 3.67 -6.67
14 01-05-2023 Away L * 56.33 58 62 1 41 ( 19- 12) Miami FL -6.76 2.76
15 01-08-2023 Home W * 76.22 60 50 1 7 ( 25- 5) Notre Dame 13.13 -3.13
16 01-12-2023 Away W * 69.20 70 59 1 59 ( 15- 15) Virginia 6.11 4.89
17 01-15-2023 Home W * 70.16 56 47 1 26 ( 20- 11) NC State 7.06 1.94
18 01-19-2023 Home W * 69.11 61 56 1 12 ( 25- 6) Duke 6.01 -1.01
19 01-22-2023 Home W * 61.78 70 57 1 72 ( 13- 17) Georgia Tech -1.32 14.32
20 01-26-2023 Away W * 63.89 72 57 1 100 ( 10- 20) Pittsburgh 0.80 14.20
21 01-29-2023 Away W * 67.99 69 58 1 62 ( 17- 15) Clemson 4.90 6.10
22 02-02-2023 Home W * 64.08 73 62 1 59 ( 15- 15) Virginia 0.99 10.01
23 02-05-2023 Away L * 58.80 55 62 1 25 ( 23- 11) Louisville -4.29 -2.71
24 02-09-2023 Away L * 49.48 67 75 1 49 ( 18- 12) Syracuse -13.61 5.61
25 02-12-2023 Home W * 64.93 73 55 1 81 ( 16- 17) Boston College 1.84 16.16
26 02-16-2023 Away L * 55.28 66 77 1 1 26 ( 20- 11) NC State -7.81 -3.19
27 02-19-2023 Home W * 62.25 71 58 1 68 ( 16- 16) Wake Forest -0.84 13.84
28 02-23-2023 Home L * 62.64 59 61 1 9 ( 27- 4) Virginia Tech -0.45 -1.55
29 02-26-2023 Away W * 73.23 45 41 1 12 ( 25- 6) Duke 10.14 -6.14
30 03-02-2023 Home W * 61.87 68 58 1 62 ( 17- 15) Clemson -1.22 11.22
31 03-03-2023 Neutral L * 62.67 40 44 1 12 ( 25- 6) Duke -0.43 -3.57
Averages 63.09 69.2 59.5
Best game: 76.22 = 10 point win over Notre Dame
Worst game: 41.96 = 22 point win over UNC Wilmington
Team stdev: 8.31